Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist.
The following note looks at five reasons why its more complicated than you think.
The key points are as follows:
- Talk of a property crash is likely to ramp up again with signs that the Sydney and Melbourne property markets are cooling. But the Australian property market is a lot more complicated than the crash calls suggest.
- We continue to expect a 5-10% downswing in Sydney and Melbourne property prices but a crash is unlikely and other capital cities will perform better.
- It remains a time for property investors to exercise caution and focus on laggard or higher-yielding markets.